If American politics teaches us anything, it is that voting patterns are unpredictable. While certain things remain generally true over time, in any given election, last-minute surprises can alter what had seemed to be an almost certain result.
With that said, there are strong indications that a significant shift is underway in one segment of the American electorate: young women. Nearly 45% of women ages 18-29 now identify as liberal, according to recent survey data. This is up from less than 30% in 2000.
This has not occurred in a vacuum. The Gallup Poll notes that nearly 40% of this same group are “religiously unaffiliated,” as well. And the respected General Social Survey has found that over the 50-year period from 1972-2021, the percentage of married women (again, ages 18-29) has fallen from 55% to a mere 15%.